February 14, 2017

On FT’s Patrick Jenkins’ discussion of Donald Trump’s “seven “core principles” for (de) regulating US finance

Sir, I refer to Patrick Jenkins’ discussion of Donald Trump’s “seven “core principles” for (de) regulating US finance this month”; as “decoded by a sceptic”, “Trump’s battle with red tape will hurt consumers and world” February 14.

1. “A swipe at the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, the new body that has returned $12bn to more than 25m Americans ill-treated by financial groups.”

That comes to an average of $480 per person, which leaves open the questions of: At what cost? Should Americans because of CFPB’s feel safer and, if they do so, are they really safer? What has happened to good and useful old “Caveat emptor”?

2. “Mr Gary Cohn blamed regulatory capital requirements for a shortage of credit to the economy: “Banks do not lend money to companies . . . because they’re forced to hoard capital,” he said. Nonsense, given that equity capital is free to be used for lending.” What? Has Patrick Jenkins not yet understood how for instance requiring banks to hold more capital against “risky” SMEs than against the sovereign and the “safe” AAA-risktocracy, distorts the allocation of bank credit?

3. “There has in any case been pretty strong credit growth, about 6 per cent a year since 2012.”

Credit for what? Yes: for corporation repurchasing their shares; for more loans to “safe” sovereign; for increased automobile financing portfolios; for residential mortgages… but what about the financing of the riskier future our kids and grandchildren need to be financed?

4. “It may also be a pop at the Financial Stability Oversight Council, the only US federal body that assesses risk across banks and non-banks… disbanding FSOC, would… be dangerous”

No! All those involved with bank regulations that do not understand the fundamental reality that what is perceived as very safe, is much more dangerous to the bank system than what is perceived as very risky, should be disbanded… the faster the better.

5. “Enable American companies to be competitive with foreign groups in domestic and foreign markets. A natural adjunct of the president’s all-encompassing call for national greatness… is likely to translate into… deregulation.”

What? If banks have needed to hold the same amount of capital against loans to Greece or AAA rated securities that they needed to hold against loans to SMEs and entrepreneurs we might have had other type of crisis, but not the 2007/08 one, nor would we be suffering such lazy economic responses to all the huge stimuli doled out?

6. “be in no doubt: this president will deregulate”

If that means to take away what distorts the allocation of bank credit to the real economy then welcome, not a moment too soon. To just modify the regulations is not to deregulate, but only to neo-misregulate.

7. “Restore public accountability within Federal financial regulatory agencies”

That would be not a second too late. Not only the Federal financial regulatory agencies, but also most of the world’s bank regulators, refuse to answer some simple questions such as: Why do you assign a low 20% risk weight to the so dangerous for the banking system AAA rated, and a whopping 150% to the so innocuous below BB- rated?

@PerKurowski